Policy Report: Impact of the Russia–Ukraine war on Africa

February 2, 2024

About this publication

This policy brief benefits from author contributions and draws largely on the following six studies from a project led by the African Economic Research Consortium (AERC), the Economic Research Forum (ERF) and the Partnership for Economic Policy (PEP), as well as policy briefs and papers by ODI. These studies and briefs have been supported by Canada’s International Development Research Centre (IDRC):

Benayad, M. (2023) ‘Cas du développement des échanges agricoles entre le Maroc et le Sénégal’ Unpublished draft paper as of June 2023.
Cororaton, C. (2023) ‘The impact of the war in Ukraine: estimating the economic and welfare losses in Africa using a global CGE model’ Unpublished draft paper as of June 2023. Cororaton, C., Bohlmann, H., Bohlmann, J. and Henseler, M. (2023) ‘The impact of the Russia-Ukraine war: estimating the economic and welfare losses in Africa using a global CGE model’. Policy Brief 267. Partnership for Economic Policy (https://portal.pep-net.org/public/project/20692).
Geda, A. and Musyoka, M.P. (2023) ‘Impacts of the Ukraine crises on food security in Kenya and Ethiopia: options for regional Trade collaboration’. Working Paper IWU-CC-002. Nairobi: AERC.
M’bouke S., Gurara, D., Ngui, D. and Shimeles, A. (2023) ‘The echoes of conflict: analyzing the potential impacts of the RussiaUkraine war on Africa’. Unpublished draft paper as of June 2023. M’bouke S., Gurara, D., Ngui, D. and Shimeles, A. (2023) ‘The echoes of conflict: analyzing the potential impacts of the RussiaUkraine war on Africa’. Policy Brief IWU-PB-001. Nairobi: AERC.
Ngepah, N. (2023) ‘Food security effects of food and agricultural inputs trade shocks from the Russia-Ukraine region in South Africa and Mozambique: exploring the roles of the Maputo corridor, SADC, and continental sources’. Working Paper IWUCC-003. Nairobi: AERC.
Zaki, C., Alhelo, A. and Suliman, K. (2023) ‘Trade, food security, and the war in Ukraine: The cases of Egypt and Sudan’. Working Paper 1659. Giza: ERF.

The authors are grateful to Sheila Page for peer review and Arjan de Haan and IDRC colleagues for valuable comments and insights throughout the project. We also thank participants at workshops in Marrakech held in October 2023 around the IMF/World Bank Annual Meetings for comments.